Tianfeng International analyst Guo Minghao said in his latest report that the iPhone is expected to adopt screen fingerprint in 2021.
Guo Minghao said that Apple has applied for this technology. So there is every reason to think the Cupertino-based company is still interested in it. In terms of technology development, there will be four key technologies for fingerprints in the next 12-18 months. Those four improvements refer to the module thickness, sensing area, power consumption, and fit yield. But these are in the development and we won’t see them sooner than 2021. It is expected to improve security due to multiple biometric functions. In all current screen fingerprinting technologies, Apple is most likely to use Qualcomm’s large-area ultrasonic technology. GIS is an existing supplier of both Apple and Qualcomm’s ultrasonic fingerprinting strategy. So it may provide ultrasonic modules and fits.
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The analyst also believes that Face ID and screen fingerprint technology are complementary rather than competitive. Multiple biometrics are expected to enhance security, while screen fingerprints can provide more convenient authentication in specific situations. In addition, if Apple Watch wants to import biometrics in the future, in terms of technology, the probability of fingerprints on the screen is higher than that of Face ID.
GIS and Qualcomm are expected to benefit significantly from the iPhone’s large-area ultrasound screen fingerprints. In the future, more Android high-end smartphones will use large-area ultrasound screen fingerprints too.
It’s estimated that the shipments of Android phones with screen-printed fingerprints will be 2,000–25 million, 2.6–280 million, and 3.7-400 million units in 2018, 2019 and 2020, respectively.